Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 27 May 2022.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Man City 38 93 73 L 1-2  Prediction L 0-5  Prediction
2 Liverpool 38 92 68 L 0-2  Prediction L 0-4  Prediction
3 Chelsea 38 74 43 L 0-2  Prediction W 4-2  Prediction
4 Tottenham 38 71 29 W 3-1  Prediction L 0-3  Prediction
5 Arsenal 38 69 13
6 Man United 38 58 0 W 3-1  Prediction L 2-3  Prediction
7 West Ham 38 56 9 W 2-0  Prediction W 2-1  Prediction
8 Leicester 38 52 3 W 2-0  Prediction W 2-0  Prediction
9 Brighton 38 51 -2 L 1-2  Prediction D 0-0  Prediction
10 Wolves 38 51 -5 W 2-1  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
11 Newcastle 38 49 -18 W 2-0  Prediction L 0-2  Prediction
12 Crystal Palace 38 48 4 D 2-2  Prediction L 0-3  Prediction
13 Brentford 38 46 -8 W 2-1  Prediction L 0-2  Prediction
14 Aston Villa 38 45 -2 W 3-1  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
15 Southampton 38 40 -24 W 3-0  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
16 Everton 38 39 -23 W 5-1  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
17 Leeds 38 38 -37 W 2-1  Prediction W 4-1  Prediction
18 Burnley 38 35 -19 D 0-0  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
19 Watford 38 23 -43 W 1-0  Prediction W 3-2  Prediction
20 Norwich 38 22 -61 W 1-0  Prediction W 5-0  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.13Away 0.69

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.79 0.15 0.00
Aston Villa 0.47 0.05 0.01
Brentford 0.33 -0.11 0.04
Brighton 0.19 0.08 0.01
Burnley 0.19 0.03 0.01
Chelsea 0.79 0.33 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.23 -0.01 0.01
Everton 0.40 0.06 0.00
Leeds 0.44 -0.44 0.02
Leicester 0.60 0.07 0.01
Liverpool 1.15 0.42 0.01
Man City 1.43 0.50 0.01
Man United 0.78 0.28 0.01
Newcastle 0.23 -0.03 0.01
Norwich -0.15 -0.61 0.04
Southampton 0.35 -0.06 0.01
Tottenham 0.77 0.29 0.01
Watford -0.05 -0.32 0.05
West Ham 0.49 -0.08 0.01
Wolves 0.28 0.25 0.01