Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 02 December 2021.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Chelsea 13 30 26 L 0-2  Prediction Forecast
2 Man City 13 29 20 Forecast L 0-5  Prediction
3 Liverpool 13 28 28 Forecast L 0-4  Prediction
4 West Ham 13 23 8 Forecast Forecast
5 Arsenal 13 23 -2
6 Wolves 13 20 0 Forecast Forecast
7 Tottenham 12 19 -6 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
8 Man United 13 18 -1 Forecast Forecast
9 Brighton 13 18 -2 Forecast D 0-0  Prediction
10 Leicester 13 18 -3 Forecast W 2-0  Prediction
11 Crystal Palace 13 16 0 D 2-2  Prediction Forecast
12 Brentford 13 16 0 Forecast L 0-2  Prediction
13 Aston Villa 13 16 -3 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
14 Everton 13 15 -4 Forecast Forecast
15 Southampton 13 14 -7 Forecast Forecast
16 Watford 13 13 -6 W 1-0  Prediction Forecast
17 Leeds 13 12 -8 Forecast Forecast
18 Burnley 12 9 -6 Forecast W 1-0  Prediction
19 Norwich 13 9 -20 W 1-0  Prediction Forecast
20 Newcastle 13 6 -14 W 2-0Forecast Forecast

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.13Away 0.69

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.80 0.15 0.00
Aston Villa 0.43 0.01 0.02
Brentford 0.49 -0.17 0.11
Brighton 0.16 0.05 0.01
Burnley 0.23 0.00 0.01
Chelsea 0.81 0.32 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.24 -0.05 0.01
Everton 0.42 0.10 0.00
Leeds 0.50 -0.13 0.03
Leicester 0.57 0.09 0.01
Liverpool 1.12 0.36 0.01
Man City 1.39 0.49 0.01
Man United 0.81 0.32 0.01
Newcastle 0.21 -0.07 0.01
Norwich -0.16 -0.69 0.10
Southampton 0.34 -0.02 0.01
Tottenham 0.71 0.27 0.01
Watford 0.22 0.06 0.14
West Ham 0.49 -0.08 0.01
Wolves 0.31 0.23 0.01