Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 17 May 2021.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Man City 35 80 46 L 0-1  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
2 Man United 36 70 28 D 0-0  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
3 Leicester 36 66 21 L 0-1  Prediction W 3-1  Prediction
4 Chelsea 36 64 22 W 3-1  Prediction W 1-0Forecast
5 Liverpool 35 60 20 L 0-3  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
6 West Ham 35 58 10 W 2-1  Prediction D 3-3  Prediction
7 Tottenham 35 56 20 W 2-1  Prediction L 0-2  Prediction
8 Everton 35 56 4 L 0-1  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
9 Arsenal 36 55 12
10 Leeds 35 50 0 W 4-2  Prediction D 0-0  Prediction
11 Aston Villa 35 49 8 L 0-3  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
12 Wolves 35 45 -12 L 1-2  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
13 Crystal Palace 35 41 -22 D 0-0  Prediction Forecast
14 Southampton 35 40 -18 D 1-1  Prediction W 3-1  Prediction
15 Burnley 35 39 -14 L 0-1  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
16 Newcastle 35 39 -18 W 3-0  Prediction W 2-0  Prediction
17 Brighton 35 37 -5 Forecast W 1-0  Prediction
18 Fulham 35 27 -22 D 1-1  Prediction W 3-0  Prediction
19 West Brom 35 26 -36 W 3-1  Prediction W 4-0  Prediction
20 Sheffield United 35 17 -44 W 2-1  Prediction W 3-0  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.13Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.81 0.15 0.00
Aston Villa 0.37 -0.01 0.02
Brighton 0.15 0.04 0.01
Burnley 0.22 0.02 0.01
Chelsea 0.78 0.28 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.19 -0.03 0.01
Everton 0.43 0.10 0.00
Fulham -0.06 0.11 0.04
Leeds 0.61 -0.07 0.04
Leicester 0.57 0.12 0.01
Liverpool 1.08 0.36 0.01
Man City 1.37 0.48 0.01
Man United 0.80 0.35 0.01
Newcastle 0.18 -0.01 0.01
Sheffield United -0.05 0.12 0.01
Southampton 0.35 -0.02 0.01
Tottenham 0.75 0.30 0.01
West Brom 0.12 -0.34 0.05
West Ham 0.46 -0.12 0.01
Wolves 0.33 0.23 0.01