Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 25 July 2021.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Man City 38 86 51 L 0-1  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
2 Man United 38 74 29 D 0-0  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
3 Liverpool 38 69 26 L 0-3  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
4 Chelsea 38 67 22 W 3-1  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
5 Leicester 38 66 18 L 0-1  Prediction W 3-1  Prediction
6 West Ham 38 65 15 W 2-1  Prediction D 3-3  Prediction
7 Tottenham 38 62 23 W 2-1  Prediction L 0-2  Prediction
8 Arsenal 38 61 16
9 Leeds 38 59 8 W 4-2  Prediction D 0-0  Prediction
10 Everton 38 59 -1 L 0-1  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
11 Aston Villa 38 55 9 L 0-3  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
12 Newcastle 38 45 -16 W 3-0  Prediction W 2-0  Prediction
13 Wolves 38 45 -16 L 1-2  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
14 Crystal Palace 38 44 -25 D 0-0  Prediction W 3-1  Prediction
15 Southampton 38 43 -21 D 1-1  Prediction W 3-1  Prediction
16 Brighton 38 41 -6 W 2-0  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
17 Burnley 38 39 -22 L 0-1  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
18 Fulham 38 28 -26 D 1-1  Prediction W 3-0  Prediction
19 West Brom 38 26 -41 W 3-1  Prediction W 4-0  Prediction
20 Sheffield United 38 23 -43 W 2-1  Prediction W 3-0  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.13Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.82 0.16 0.00
Aston Villa 0.40 0.01 0.02
Brighton 0.15 0.04 0.01
Burnley 0.22 0.02 0.01
Chelsea 0.77 0.28 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.19 -0.06 0.01
Everton 0.42 0.10 0.00
Fulham -0.08 0.02 0.03
Leeds 0.66 -0.02 0.05
Leicester 0.58 0.13 0.01
Liverpool 1.09 0.37 0.01
Man City 1.40 0.47 0.01
Man United 0.80 0.34 0.01
Newcastle 0.20 -0.01 0.01
Sheffield United -0.05 0.14 0.01
Southampton 0.35 -0.03 0.01
Tottenham 0.75 0.29 0.01
West Brom 0.12 -0.43 0.05
West Ham 0.48 -0.11 0.01
Wolves 0.32 0.22 0.01