Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 22 February 2017.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Chelsea 25 60 34 W 3-0  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
2 Man City 25 52 22 Forecast L 1-2  Prediction
3 Tottenham 25 50 28 D 1-1  Prediction Forecast
4 Arsenal 25 50 26
5 Liverpool 25 49 24 L 3-4  Prediction Forecast
6 Man United 25 48 17 Forecast D 1-1  Prediction
7 Everton 25 41 13 Forecast L 1-2  Prediction
8 West Brom 25 37 3 W 1-0  Prediction Forecast
9 Stoke 25 32 -6 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
10 West Ham 25 32 -9 Forecast W 5-1  Prediction
11 Southampton 25 30 -3 W 2-1  Prediction Forecast
12 Burnley 25 30 -9 W 2-1  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
13 Watford 25 30 -13 L 1-2  Prediction W 3-1  Prediction
14 Bournemouth 25 26 -14 W 3-1  Prediction D 3-3  Prediction
15 Swansea 25 24 -23 W 3-2  Prediction W 4-0  Prediction
16 Middlesbrough 25 22 -8 D 0-0  Prediction Forecast
17 Leicester 25 21 -19 Forecast D 0-0  Prediction
18 Hull 25 20 -27 W 2-0  Prediction W 4-1  Prediction
19 Crystal Palace 25 19 -14 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
20 Sunderland 25 19 -22 Forecast W 4-1  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.13Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.84 0.26 0.01
Bournemouth 0.39 - 0.50 0.02
Burnley 0.21 - 0.04 0.05
Chelsea 0.83 0.33 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.12 - 0.08 0.02
Everton 0.49 0.16 0.01
Hull - 0.03 - 0.49 0.05
Leicester 0.48 0.05 0.01
Liverpool 0.82 0.08 0.01
Man City 1.14 0.25 0.01
Man United 0.70 0.30 0.01
Middlesbrough - 0.14 0.22 0.06
Southampton 0.41 0.12 0.01
Stoke 0.22 0.02 0.01
Sunderland 0.11 - 0.18 0.01
Swansea 0.31 - 0.10 0.01
Tottenham 0.62 0.21 0.01
Watford 0.19 - 0.10 0.03
West Brom 0.17 - 0.08 0.01
West Ham 0.41 - 0.05 0.01