Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 28 March 2020.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Liverpool 29 82 45 Forecast L 1-3  Prediction
2 Man City 28 57 37 L 0-3  Prediction Forecast
3 Leicester 29 53 30 Forecast L 0-2  Prediction
4 Chelsea 29 48 12 L 1-2  Prediction D 2-2  Prediction
5 Man United 29 45 14 W 2-0  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
6 Wolves 29 43 7 D 1-1  Prediction Forecast
7 Sheffield United 28 43 5 D 1-1  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
8 Tottenham 29 41 7 D 2-2  Prediction Forecast
9 Arsenal 28 40 4
10 Burnley 29 39 -6 W 2-1  Prediction D 0-0  Prediction
11 Crystal Palace 29 39 -6 D 2-2  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
12 Everton 29 37 -9 W 3-2  Prediction D 0-0  Prediction
13 Newcastle 29 35 -16 W 4-0  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
14 Southampton 29 34 -17 D 2-2  Prediction Forecast
15 Brighton 29 29 -8 L 1-2  Prediction Forecast
16 West Ham 29 27 -15 W 1-0  Prediction W 3-1  Prediction
17 Watford 29 27 -17 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction
18 Bournemouth 29 27 -18 W 1-0  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
19 Aston Villa 28 25 -22 W 3-2  Prediction Forecast
20 Norwich 29 21 -27 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.14Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.84 0.13 0.01
Aston Villa 0.29 -0.46 0.05
Bournemouth 0.36 -0.39 0.01
Brighton 0.13 -0.01 0.01
Burnley 0.27 0.01 0.01
Chelsea 0.76 0.26 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.24 0.01 0.01
Everton 0.45 0.09 0.01
Leicester 0.54 0.12 0.01
Liverpool 1.13 0.41 0.01
Man City 1.35 0.41 0.01
Man United 0.71 0.31 0.00
Newcastle 0.16 0.12 0.01
Norwich 0.05 -0.20 0.04
Sheffield United 0.17 0.51 0.04
Southampton 0.33 -0.01 0.01
Tottenham 0.78 0.30 0.01
Watford 0.22 -0.10 0.01
West Ham 0.39 -0.16 0.01
Wolves 0.41 0.22 0.02