Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 19 September 2017.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Man City 5 13 14 Forecast Forecast
2 Man United 5 13 14 Forecast Forecast
3 Chelsea 5 10 3 Forecast D 0-0Forecast
4 Newcastle 5 9 2 Forecast Forecast
5 Tottenham 5 8 4 Forecast Forecast
6 Huddersfield 5 8 2 Forecast Forecast
7 Burnley 5 8 1 Forecast Forecast
8 Liverpool 5 8 0 Forecast L 0-4  Prediction
9 Southampton 5 8 0 Forecast Forecast
10 West Brom 5 8 0 Forecast Forecast
11 Watford 5 8 -2 Forecast Forecast
12 Arsenal 5 7 -1
13 Stoke 5 5 -1 Forecast L 0-1  Prediction
14 Swansea 5 5 -3 Forecast Forecast
15 Leicester 5 4 -2 W 4-3  Prediction Forecast
16 Brighton 5 4 -3 Forecast Forecast
17 West Ham 5 4 -6 Forecast Forecast
18 Everton 5 4 -8 Forecast Forecast
19 Bournemouth 5 3 -6 W 3-0  Prediction Forecast
20 Crystal Palace 5 0 -8 Forecast Forecast

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.13Away 0.67

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.83 0.23 0.01
Bournemouth 0.39 -0.43 0.02
Brighton 0.04 0.13 0.25
Burnley 0.18 -0.06 0.03
Chelsea 0.89 0.31 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.15 -0.06 0.01
Everton 0.49 0.14 0.01
Huddersfield 0.48 0.72 0.33
Leicester 0.55 0.04 0.01
Liverpool 0.82 0.07 0.01
Man City 1.14 0.28 0.01
Man United 0.70 0.34 0.01
Newcastle 0.40 0.65 0.27
Southampton 0.35 0.13 0.01
Stoke 0.19 0.04 0.01
Swansea 0.27 -0.08 0.01
Tottenham 0.72 0.28 0.01
Watford 0.11 -0.03 0.03
West Brom 0.15 -0.08 0.01
West Ham 0.38 -0.09 0.01