Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 08 July 2020.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Liverpool 33 89 47 Forecast L 1-3  Prediction
2 Man City 33 66 47 L 0-3  Prediction L 0-3  Prediction
3 Leicester 33 58 32 Forecast L 0-2  Prediction
4 Chelsea 33 57 16 L 1-2  Prediction D 2-2  Prediction
5 Man United 33 55 23 W 2-0  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
6 Wolves 33 52 9 D 1-1  Prediction W 2-0  Prediction
7 Arsenal 33 49 8
8 Sheffield United 33 48 1 D 1-1  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
9 Burnley 33 46 -9 W 2-1  Prediction D 0-0  Prediction
10 Tottenham 32 45 7 D 2-2  Prediction Forecast
11 Everton 32 44 -7 W 3-2  Prediction D 0-0  Prediction
12 Newcastle 33 43 -10 W 4-0  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
13 Southampton 33 43 -13 D 2-2  Prediction W 2-0  Prediction
14 Crystal Palace 33 42 -12 D 2-2  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
15 Brighton 33 36 -9 L 1-2  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
16 West Ham 33 31 -18 W 1-0  Prediction W 3-1  Prediction
17 Watford 33 28 -23 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction
18 Aston Villa 33 27 -26 W 3-2  Prediction Forecast
19 Bournemouth 33 27 -27 W 1-0  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
20 Norwich 33 21 -36 W 4-0  Prediction D 2-2  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.14Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.85 0.14 0.01
Aston Villa 0.20 -0.35 0.04
Bournemouth 0.35 -0.41 0.01
Brighton 0.12 0.00 0.01
Burnley 0.26 0.01 0.01
Chelsea 0.77 0.26 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.22 0.00 0.01
Everton 0.44 0.11 0.01
Leicester 0.53 0.13 0.01
Liverpool 1.12 0.41 0.01
Man City 1.36 0.43 0.01
Man United 0.73 0.31 0.00
Newcastle 0.18 0.11 0.01
Norwich -0.07 -0.30 0.03
Sheffield United 0.15 0.42 0.03
Southampton 0.34 0.01 0.01
Tottenham 0.77 0.29 0.01
Watford 0.20 -0.12 0.01
West Ham 0.39 -0.18 0.01
Wolves 0.38 0.25 0.02