Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 19 January 2017.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Chelsea 21 52 30 W 3-0  Prediction Forecast
2 Tottenham 21 45 29 D 1-1  Prediction Forecast
3 Liverpool 21 45 25 L 3-4  Prediction Forecast
4 Arsenal 21 44 26
5 Man City 21 42 15 Forecast L 1-2  Prediction
6 Man United 21 40 12 Forecast D 1-1  Prediction
7 Everton 21 33 9 Forecast L 1-2  Prediction
8 West Brom 21 29 0 W 1-0  Prediction Forecast
9 Stoke 21 27 -6 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
10 Burnley 21 26 -8 Forecast W 1-0  Prediction
11 Bournemouth 21 25 -7 W 3-1  Prediction D 3-3  Prediction
12 West Ham 21 25 -9 Forecast W 5-1  Prediction
13 Southampton 21 24 -7 W 2-1  Prediction Forecast
14 Watford 21 23 -13 Forecast W 3-1  Prediction
15 Leicester 21 21 -10 Forecast D 0-0  Prediction
16 Middlesbrough 21 20 -5 D 0-0  Prediction Forecast
17 Crystal Palace 21 16 -10 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
18 Hull 21 16 -25 Forecast W 4-1  Prediction
19 Sunderland 21 15 -20 Forecast W 4-1  Prediction
20 Swansea 21 15 -26 W 3-2  Prediction W 4-0  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.13Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.86 0.28 0.01
Bournemouth 0.39 - 0.40 0.03
Burnley 0.20 - 0.13 0.06
Chelsea 0.83 0.32 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.13 - 0.11 0.02
Everton 0.47 0.16 0.01
Hull - 0.01 - 0.75 0.06
Leicester 0.54 0.09 0.01
Liverpool 0.85 0.10 0.01
Man City 1.12 0.24 0.01
Man United 0.70 0.29 0.01
Middlesbrough - 0.07 0.31 0.07
Southampton 0.40 0.14 0.01
Stoke 0.23 0.01 0.01
Sunderland 0.13 - 0.19 0.01
Swansea 0.26 - 0.12 0.01
Tottenham 0.65 0.20 0.01
Watford 0.13 - 0.12 0.03
West Brom 0.16 - 0.09 0.01
West Ham 0.36 - 0.02 0.01