Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 28 November 2020.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Tottenham 9 20 12 Forecast Forecast
2 Liverpool 9 20 5 Forecast L 1-3  Prediction
3 Chelsea 9 18 12 Forecast Forecast
4 Leicester 9 18 6 L 0-1  Prediction Forecast
5 Southampton 9 17 4 Forecast Forecast
6 Everton 9 16 3 Forecast Forecast
7 Aston Villa 8 15 8 L 0-3  Prediction Forecast
8 West Ham 9 14 5 W 2-1  Prediction Forecast
9 Wolves 9 14 -1 Forecast Forecast
10 Man United 8 13 -1 Forecast W 1-0  Prediction
11 Crystal Palace 9 13 -1 Forecast Forecast
12 Arsenal 9 13 -1
13 Man City 8 12 -1 Forecast L 0-1  Prediction
14 Leeds 9 11 -3 Forecast D 0-0  Prediction
15 Newcastle 9 11 -5 Forecast Forecast
16 Brighton 9 9 -2 Forecast Forecast
17 Burnley 8 5 -8 Forecast Forecast
18 Fulham 9 4 -9 Forecast W 3-0  Prediction
19 West Brom 9 3 -12 Forecast Forecast
20 Sheffield United 9 1 -11 W 2-1  Prediction Forecast

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.14Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.82 0.14 0.01
Aston Villa 0.37 -0.14 0.03
Brighton 0.17 -0.02 0.01
Burnley 0.23 0.01 0.01
Chelsea 0.81 0.23 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.20 -0.02 0.01
Everton 0.45 0.08 0.00
Fulham 0.04 -0.57 0.14
Leeds 0.70 -0.35 0.15
Leicester 0.53 0.11 0.01
Liverpool 1.15 0.36 0.01
Man City 1.36 0.45 0.01
Man United 0.75 0.32 0.01
Newcastle 0.18 0.03 0.01
Sheffield United 0.05 0.33 0.02
Southampton 0.37 0.04 0.01
Tottenham 0.76 0.31 0.01
West Brom 0.02 -0.60 0.14
West Ham 0.42 -0.14 0.01
Wolves 0.36 0.26 0.01