Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 05 March 2021.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Man City 27 65 39 L 0-1  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
2 Man United 27 51 21 D 0-0  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
3 Leicester 27 50 15 L 0-1  Prediction W 3-1  Prediction
4 Chelsea 27 47 17 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
5 Everton 26 46 6 Forecast L 1-2  Prediction
6 West Ham 26 45 9 W 2-1  Prediction Forecast
7 Liverpool 27 43 12 Forecast L 1-3  Prediction
8 Tottenham 26 42 15 Forecast L 0-2  Prediction
9 Aston Villa 25 39 11 L 0-3  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
10 Arsenal 26 37 7
11 Leeds 26 35 -1 W 4-2  Prediction D 0-0  Prediction
12 Wolves 27 34 -9 L 1-2  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
13 Crystal Palace 27 34 -14 D 0-0  Prediction Forecast
14 Southampton 26 30 -13 D 1-1  Prediction W 3-1  Prediction
15 Burnley 27 29 -16 L 0-1  Prediction Forecast
16 Brighton 26 26 -7 Forecast W 1-0  Prediction
17 Newcastle 26 26 -17 W 3-0  Prediction Forecast
18 Fulham 27 23 -12 Forecast W 3-0  Prediction
19 West Brom 27 17 -36 Forecast W 4-0  Prediction
20 Sheffield United 27 14 -27 W 2-1  Prediction Forecast

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.13Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.81 0.15 0.00
Aston Villa 0.36 0.03 0.02
Brighton 0.14 0.02 0.01
Burnley 0.21 0.04 0.01
Chelsea 0.78 0.26 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.18 -0.02 0.01
Everton 0.44 0.10 0.00
Fulham -0.05 0.17 0.05
Leeds 0.69 -0.31 0.06
Leicester 0.55 0.12 0.01
Liverpool 1.10 0.35 0.01
Man City 1.38 0.50 0.01
Man United 0.79 0.33 0.01
Newcastle 0.17 -0.00 0.01
Sheffield United 0.00 0.22 0.02
Southampton 0.34 0.00 0.01
Tottenham 0.73 0.32 0.01
West Brom 0.08 -0.44 0.06
West Ham 0.44 -0.12 0.01
Wolves 0.35 0.23 0.01