Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 19 January 2018.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Man City 23 62 50 Forecast L 1-3  Prediction
2 Man United 23 50 32 L 1-3  Prediction Forecast
3 Liverpool 23 47 26 D 3-3  Prediction L 0-4  Prediction
4 Chelsea 23 47 25 D 2-2  Prediction D 0-0  Prediction
5 Tottenham 23 44 25 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
6 Arsenal 23 39 11
7 Burnley 23 34 -1 Forecast W 1-0  Prediction
8 Leicester 23 31 2 W 4-3  Prediction Forecast
9 Everton 23 27 -13 Forecast W 5-2  Prediction
10 Watford 23 26 -9 Forecast L 1-2  Prediction
11 West Ham 23 25 -12 Forecast D 0-0  Prediction
12 Crystal Palace 23 25 -12 Forecast W 3-2  Prediction
13 Bournemouth 23 24 -11 W 3-0  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
14 Huddersfield 23 24 -20 W 5-0  Prediction Forecast
15 Newcastle 23 23 -10 W 1-0  Prediction Forecast
16 Brighton 23 23 -12 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
17 Southampton 23 21 -11 Forecast D 1-1  Prediction
18 Stoke 23 20 -27 Forecast L 0-1  Prediction
19 West Brom 23 19 -12 W 2-0  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
20 Swansea 23 17 -21 W 2-1  Prediction Forecast

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.13Away 0.67

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.81 0.22 0.01
Bournemouth 0.40 -0.37 0.01
Brighton -0.11 0.19 0.06
Burnley 0.12 0.12 0.02
Chelsea 0.89 0.36 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.17 -0.05 0.01
Everton 0.47 0.11 0.01
Huddersfield -0.13 -0.17 0.08
Leicester 0.54 0.04 0.01
Liverpool 0.94 0.11 0.01
Man City 1.25 0.30 0.01
Man United 0.72 0.37 0.01
Newcastle 0.14 -0.01 0.06
Southampton 0.34 0.11 0.01
Stoke 0.20 -0.08 0.01
Swansea 0.21 -0.10 0.01
Tottenham 0.77 0.28 0.01
Watford 0.26 -0.09 0.03
West Brom 0.13 -0.07 0.01
West Ham 0.38 -0.11 0.01