Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 26 April 2017.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Chelsea 32 75 38 W 3-0  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
2 Tottenham 32 71 46 D 1-1  Prediction Forecast
3 Liverpool 34 66 28 L 3-4  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
4 Man City 32 64 28 D 2-2  Prediction L 1-2  Prediction
5 Man United 32 63 26 Forecast D 1-1  Prediction
6 Everton 34 58 23 Forecast L 1-2  Prediction
7 Arsenal 31 57 23
8 West Brom 33 44 -3 W 1-0  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
9 Southampton 31 40 -3 W 2-1  Prediction Forecast
10 Watford 33 40 -17 L 1-2  Prediction W 3-1  Prediction
11 Stoke 34 39 -13 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
12 Crystal Palace 33 38 -7 W 2-0  Prediction L 0-3  Prediction
13 Bournemouth 34 38 -14 W 3-1  Prediction D 3-3  Prediction
14 West Ham 34 38 -15 W 3-0  Prediction W 5-1  Prediction
15 Leicester 32 37 -12 Forecast D 0-0  Prediction
16 Burnley 34 36 -16 W 2-1  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
17 Hull 34 33 -31 W 2-0  Prediction W 4-1  Prediction
18 Swansea 34 31 -29 W 3-2  Prediction W 4-0  Prediction
19 Middlesbrough 33 24 -20 D 0-0  Prediction W 2-1  Prediction
20 Sunderland 32 21 -32 Forecast W 4-1  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.14Away 0.67

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.83 0.22 0.01
Bournemouth 0.43 - 0.45 0.02
Burnley 0.11 - 0.06 0.04
Chelsea 0.84 0.32 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.21 - 0.02 0.01
Everton 0.53 0.16 0.01
Hull 0.15 - 0.54 0.04
Leicester 0.56 0.03 0.01
Liverpool 0.82 0.07 0.01
Man City 1.12 0.26 0.01
Man United 0.71 0.32 0.01
Middlesbrough - 0.23 - 0.04 0.04
Southampton 0.39 0.12 0.01
Stoke 0.19 0.01 0.01
Sunderland 0.06 - 0.19 0.01
Swansea 0.27 - 0.12 0.01
Tottenham 0.72 0.24 0.01
Watford 0.10 - 0.07 0.02
West Brom 0.15 - 0.08 0.01
West Ham 0.38 - 0.08 0.01