Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 19 March 2019.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Liverpool 31 76 52 D 1-1  Prediction L 1-5  Prediction
2 Man City 30 74 58 L 0-2  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
3 Tottenham 30 61 25 W 4-2  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
4 Arsenal 30 60 24
5 Man United 30 58 18 W 2-0  Prediction D 2-2  Prediction
6 Chelsea 30 57 17 W 2-0  Prediction L 2-3  Prediction
7 Wolves 30 44 2 D 1-1  Prediction Forecast
8 Watford 30 43 -2 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
9 West Ham 31 42 -5 W 3-1  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
10 Leicester 31 41 -3 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
11 Everton 31 40 1 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
12 Bournemouth 31 38 -13 W 5-1  Prediction W 2-1  Prediction
13 Newcastle 31 35 -9 Forecast W 2-1  Prediction
14 Crystal Palace 30 33 -5 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction
15 Brighton 29 33 -10 Forecast D 1-1  Prediction
16 Southampton 30 30 -16 W 2-0  Prediction L 2-3  Prediction
17 Burnley 31 30 -24 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
18 Cardiff 30 28 -30 W 2-1  Prediction W 3-2  Prediction
19 Fulham 31 17 -41 W 4-1  Prediction W 5-1  Prediction
20 Huddersfield 31 14 -39 W 1-0  Prediction W 2-1  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.15Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.91 0.16 0.01
Bournemouth 0.41 -0.39 0.01
Brighton 0.15 -0.01 0.02
Burnley 0.22 -0.03 0.02
Cardiff 0.05 -0.16 0.05
Chelsea 0.78 0.28 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.23 -0.05 0.01
Everton 0.44 0.10 0.01
Fulham 0.09 -0.74 0.04
Huddersfield -0.21 -0.28 0.02
Leicester 0.47 -0.00 0.01
Liverpool 1.04 0.35 0.01
Man City 1.36 0.40 0.01
Man United 0.74 0.33 0.01
Newcastle 0.21 0.16 0.02
Southampton 0.31 0.02 0.01
Tottenham 0.81 0.34 0.01
Watford 0.25 -0.07 0.02
West Ham 0.37 -0.18 0.01
Wolves 0.31 0.08 0.04