Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 20 November 2017.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Man City 11 31 31 Forecast L 1-3Forecast
2 Man United 11 23 18 Forecast Forecast
3 Tottenham 11 23 13 Forecast Forecast
4 Chelsea 11 22 9 Forecast D 0-0Forecast
5 Liverpool 11 19 4 Forecast L 0-4  Prediction
6 Arsenal 11 19 4
7 Burnley 11 19 1 Forecast Forecast
8 Brighton 11 15 0 W 2-0Forecast Forecast
9 Watford 11 15 -4 Forecast L 1-2Forecast
10 Huddersfield 11 15 -5 Forecast Forecast
11 Newcastle 11 14 0 Forecast Forecast
12 Leicester 11 13 0 W 4-3  Prediction Forecast
13 Southampton 11 13 -2 Forecast Forecast
14 Stoke 11 12 -9 Forecast L 0-1  Prediction
15 Everton 11 11 -12 Forecast W 5-2Forecast
16 West Brom 11 10 -5 W 2-0Forecast Forecast
17 Bournemouth 11 10 -7 W 3-0  Prediction Forecast
18 West Ham 11 9 -12 Forecast Forecast
19 Swansea 11 8 -6 W 2-1Forecast Forecast
20 Crystal Palace 11 4 -18 Forecast Forecast

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.13Away 0.67

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.83 0.23 0.01
Bournemouth 0.39 -0.43 0.02
Brighton 0.04 0.13 0.25
Burnley 0.18 -0.06 0.03
Chelsea 0.89 0.31 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.15 -0.06 0.01
Everton 0.49 0.14 0.01
Huddersfield 0.48 0.72 0.33
Leicester 0.55 0.04 0.01
Liverpool 0.82 0.07 0.01
Man City 1.14 0.28 0.01
Man United 0.70 0.34 0.01
Newcastle 0.40 0.65 0.27
Southampton 0.35 0.13 0.01
Stoke 0.19 0.04 0.01
Swansea 0.27 -0.08 0.01
Tottenham 0.72 0.28 0.01
Watford 0.11 -0.03 0.03
West Brom 0.15 -0.08 0.01
West Ham 0.38 -0.09 0.01