Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 29 January 2020.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Liverpool 23 67 39 Forecast L 1-3  Prediction
2 Man City 24 51 38 L 0-3  Prediction Forecast
3 Leicester 24 48 28 Forecast L 0-2  Prediction
4 Chelsea 24 40 9 L 1-2  Prediction D 2-2  Prediction
5 Man United 24 34 7 W 2-0  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
6 Tottenham 24 34 6 D 2-2  Prediction Forecast
7 Wolves 24 34 3 D 1-1  Prediction Forecast
8 Sheffield United 24 33 2 D 1-1  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
9 Southampton 24 31 -11 D 2-2  Prediction Forecast
10 Arsenal 24 30 -2
11 Crystal Palace 24 30 -6 D 2-2  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
12 Everton 24 30 -7 Forecast D 0-0  Prediction
13 Burnley 24 30 -10 W 2-1  Prediction Forecast
14 Newcastle 24 30 -12 Forecast W 1-0  Prediction
15 Brighton 24 25 -7 L 1-2  Prediction Forecast
16 Aston Villa 24 25 -14 W 3-2  Prediction Forecast
17 West Ham 23 23 -11 Forecast W 3-1  Prediction
18 Bournemouth 24 23 -14 W 1-0  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
19 Watford 24 23 -15 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction
20 Norwich 24 17 -23 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.14Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.84 0.12 0.01
Aston Villa 0.35 -0.30 0.06
Bournemouth 0.35 -0.38 0.01
Brighton 0.12 -0.01 0.01
Burnley 0.27 -0.03 0.01
Chelsea 0.74 0.27 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.25 0.00 0.01
Everton 0.43 0.11 0.01
Leicester 0.55 0.09 0.01
Liverpool 1.14 0.41 0.01
Man City 1.38 0.40 0.01
Man United 0.70 0.29 0.00
Newcastle 0.21 0.11 0.01
Norwich 0.15 -0.34 0.05
Sheffield United 0.18 0.51 0.04
Southampton 0.34 0.01 0.01
Tottenham 0.77 0.31 0.01
Watford 0.20 -0.10 0.01
West Ham 0.37 -0.16 0.01
Wolves 0.42 0.15 0.02