Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 26 March 2017.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Chelsea 28 69 38 W 3-0  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
2 Tottenham 28 59 34 D 1-1  Prediction Forecast
3 Man City 28 57 24 Forecast L 1-2  Prediction
4 Liverpool 29 56 25 L 3-4  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
5 Man United 27 52 19 Forecast D 1-1  Prediction
6 Arsenal 27 50 22
7 Everton 29 50 21 Forecast L 1-2  Prediction
8 West Brom 29 43 1 W 1-0  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
9 Stoke 29 36 -9 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
10 Southampton 27 33 -3 W 2-1  Prediction Forecast
11 Bournemouth 29 33 -12 W 3-1  Prediction D 3-3  Prediction
12 West Ham 29 33 -12 Forecast W 5-1  Prediction
13 Burnley 29 32 -11 W 2-1  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
14 Watford 28 31 -15 L 1-2  Prediction W 3-1  Prediction
15 Leicester 28 30 -14 Forecast D 0-0  Prediction
16 Crystal Palace 28 28 -10 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
17 Swansea 29 27 -27 W 3-2  Prediction W 4-0  Prediction
18 Hull 29 24 -32 W 2-0  Prediction W 4-1  Prediction
19 Middlesbrough 28 22 -13 D 0-0  Prediction Forecast
20 Sunderland 28 20 -26 Forecast W 4-1  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.13Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.83 0.23 0.01
Bournemouth 0.42 - 0.46 0.02
Burnley 0.20 - 0.05 0.04
Chelsea 0.84 0.33 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.13 - 0.04 0.02
Everton 0.52 0.16 0.01
Hull - 0.02 - 0.55 0.04
Leicester 0.53 0.05 0.01
Liverpool 0.82 0.08 0.01
Man City 1.11 0.26 0.01
Man United 0.70 0.30 0.01
Middlesbrough - 0.18 0.09 0.05
Southampton 0.41 0.12 0.01
Stoke 0.21 0.02 0.01
Sunderland 0.08 - 0.17 0.01
Swansea 0.30 - 0.13 0.01
Tottenham 0.66 0.21 0.01
Watford 0.16 - 0.09 0.03
West Brom 0.17 - 0.09 0.01
West Ham 0.41 - 0.09 0.01