Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 19 May 2019.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Man City 38 98 72 L 0-2  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
2 Liverpool 38 97 67 D 1-1  Prediction L 1-5  Prediction
3 Chelsea 38 72 24 W 2-0  Prediction L 2-3  Prediction
4 Tottenham 38 71 28 W 4-2  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
5 Arsenal 38 70 22
6 Man United 38 66 11 W 2-0  Prediction D 2-2  Prediction
7 Wolves 38 57 1 D 1-1  Prediction L 1-3  Prediction
8 Everton 38 54 8 W 2-0  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
9 Leicester 38 52 3 W 3-1  Prediction L 0-3  Prediction
10 West Ham 38 52 -3 W 3-1  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
11 Watford 38 50 -7 W 2-0  Prediction W 1-0  Prediction
12 Crystal Palace 38 49 -2 L 2-3  Prediction D 2-2  Prediction
13 Newcastle 38 45 -6 W 2-0  Prediction W 2-1  Prediction
14 Bournemouth 38 45 -14 W 5-1  Prediction W 2-1  Prediction
15 Burnley 38 40 -23 W 3-1  Prediction W 3-1  Prediction
16 Southampton 38 39 -20 W 2-0  Prediction L 2-3  Prediction
17 Brighton 38 36 -25 D 1-1  Prediction D 1-1  Prediction
18 Cardiff 38 34 -35 W 2-1  Prediction W 3-2  Prediction
19 Fulham 38 26 -47 W 4-1  Prediction W 5-1  Prediction
20 Huddersfield 38 16 -54 W 1-0  Prediction W 2-1  Prediction

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.15Away 0.67

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.88 0.14 0.01
Bournemouth 0.41 -0.43 0.01
Brighton 0.08 -0.02 0.02
Burnley 0.25 -0.01 0.01
Cardiff 0.06 -0.10 0.04
Chelsea 0.78 0.29 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.29 -0.06 0.01
Everton 0.45 0.13 0.01
Fulham 0.07 -0.59 0.03
Huddersfield -0.21 -0.35 0.02
Leicester 0.46 0.04 0.01
Liverpool 1.08 0.36 0.01
Man City 1.35 0.44 0.01
Man United 0.71 0.30 0.01
Newcastle 0.22 0.16 0.02
Southampton 0.32 -0.01 0.01
Tottenham 0.78 0.35 0.01
Watford 0.26 -0.09 0.02
West Ham 0.37 -0.17 0.01
Wolves 0.30 0.08 0.03