Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 20 January 2019.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Liverpool 22 57 40 D 1-1  Prediction L 1-5  Prediction
2 Man City 22 53 42 L 0-2  Prediction Forecast
3 Tottenham 22 48 24 W 4-2  Prediction Forecast
4 Chelsea 22 47 23 Forecast L 2-3  Prediction
5 Arsenal 22 41 14
6 Man United 22 41 12 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction
7 Watford 22 32 0 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
8 Leicester 22 31 1 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
9 West Ham 22 31 -2 W 3-1  Prediction L 0-1  Prediction
10 Everton 22 30 2 W 2-0  Prediction Forecast
11 Wolves 22 29 -5 D 1-1  Prediction Forecast
12 Bournemouth 22 27 -11 Forecast W 2-1  Prediction
13 Brighton 22 26 -6 Forecast D 1-1  Prediction
14 Crystal Palace 22 22 -8 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction
15 Burnley 22 21 -20 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
16 Southampton 22 19 -16 Forecast L 2-3  Prediction
17 Cardiff 22 19 -22 Forecast W 3-2  Prediction
18 Newcastle 22 18 -15 Forecast W 2-1  Prediction
19 Fulham 22 14 -29 W 4-1  Prediction W 5-1  Prediction
20 Huddersfield 22 11 -24 W 1-0  Prediction Forecast

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.14Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.89 0.14 0.01
Bournemouth 0.41 -0.42 0.01
Brighton 0.14 0.06 0.02
Burnley 0.17 0.02 0.02
Cardiff 0.02 -0.13 0.06
Chelsea 0.81 0.33 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.21 -0.04 0.01
Everton 0.45 0.10 0.01
Fulham 0.05 -0.66 0.06
Huddersfield -0.19 -0.19 0.02
Leicester 0.44 0.02 0.01
Liverpool 1.04 0.33 0.01
Man City 1.35 0.37 0.01
Man United 0.74 0.33 0.01
Newcastle 0.13 0.14 0.02
Southampton 0.31 0.03 0.01
Tottenham 0.84 0.37 0.01
Watford 0.27 -0.07 0.02
West Ham 0.38 -0.18 0.01
Wolves 0.07 0.05 0.07