Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 14 November 2019.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Liverpool 12 34 18 Forecast L 1-3  Prediction
2 Leicester 12 26 21 Forecast L 0-2  Prediction
3 Chelsea 12 26 10 Forecast Forecast
4 Man City 12 25 22 Forecast Forecast
5 Sheffield United 12 17 4 Forecast L 0-1  Prediction
6 Arsenal 12 17 -1
7 Man United 12 16 4 Forecast D 1-1  Prediction
8 Wolves 12 16 1 D 1-1  Prediction Forecast
9 Bournemouth 12 16 0 W 1-0  Prediction Forecast
10 Burnley 12 15 -1 W 2-1  Prediction Forecast
11 Brighton 12 15 -2 Forecast Forecast
12 Crystal Palace 12 15 -6 D 2-2  Prediction Forecast
13 Newcastle 12 15 -7 Forecast W 1-0  Prediction
14 Tottenham 12 14 1 D 2-2  Prediction Forecast
15 Everton 12 14 -5 Forecast Forecast
16 West Ham 12 13 -6 Forecast Forecast
17 Aston Villa 12 11 -3 W 3-2  Prediction Forecast
18 Watford 12 8 -15 Forecast D 2-2  Prediction
19 Southampton 12 8 -18 Forecast Forecast
20 Norwich 12 7 -17 Forecast Forecast

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.14Away 0.67

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.86 0.13 0.01
Aston Villa 0.36 -0.18 0.10
Bournemouth 0.41 -0.38 0.01
Brighton 0.12 -0.02 0.01
Burnley 0.29 -0.02 0.01
Chelsea 0.78 0.27 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.26 -0.03 0.01
Everton 0.43 0.12 0.01
Leicester 0.50 0.10 0.01
Liverpool 1.12 0.38 0.01
Man City 1.38 0.42 0.01
Man United 0.70 0.30 0.00
Newcastle 0.19 0.14 0.01
Norwich 0.04 -0.54 0.11
Sheffield United 0.21 0.61 0.09
Southampton 0.32 -0.01 0.01
Tottenham 0.77 0.33 0.01
Watford 0.20 -0.15 0.01
West Ham 0.37 -0.16 0.01
Wolves 0.34 0.18 0.03