Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 26 September 2020.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Leicester 2 6 5 Forecast Forecast
2 Everton 2 6 4 Forecast Forecast
3 Arsenal 2 6 4
4 Liverpool 2 6 3 Forecast Forecast
5 Crystal Palace 2 6 3 Forecast Forecast
6 Tottenham 2 3 2 Forecast Forecast
7 Man City 1 3 2 Forecast Forecast
8 Brighton 2 3 1 Forecast Forecast
9 Aston Villa 1 3 1 Forecast Forecast
10 Leeds 2 3 0 Forecast Forecast
11 Wolves 2 3 0 Forecast Forecast
12 Chelsea 2 3 0 Forecast Forecast
13 Newcastle 2 3 -1 Forecast Forecast
14 Burnley 1 0 -2 Forecast Forecast
15 Man United 1 0 -2 Forecast Forecast
16 West Ham 2 0 -3 W 2-1  Prediction Forecast
17 Sheffield United 2 0 -3 Forecast Forecast
18 Fulham 2 0 -4 Forecast W 3-0  Prediction
19 Southampton 2 0 -4 Forecast Forecast
20 West Brom 2 0 -6 Forecast Forecast

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.14Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.85 0.14 0.01
Aston Villa 0.19 -0.21 0.03
Brighton 0.15 0.00 0.01
Burnley 0.28 0.01 0.01
Chelsea 0.78 0.23 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.21 -0.01 0.01
Everton 0.43 0.10 0.00
Fulham 0.53 -0.75 0.42
Leeds 1.66 -1.11 0.42
Leicester 0.54 0.10 0.01
Liverpool 1.15 0.39 0.01
Man City 1.41 0.43 0.01
Man United 0.74 0.32 0.01
Newcastle 0.17 0.05 0.01
Sheffield United 0.11 0.36 0.03
Southampton 0.36 0.02 0.01
Tottenham 0.76 0.31 0.01
West Brom 0.48 -1.60 0.38
West Ham 0.38 -0.18 0.01
Wolves 0.41 0.27 0.01