Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 23 September 2018.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Chelsea 5 15 10 Forecast L 2-3  Prediction
2 Liverpool 5 15 9 Forecast Forecast
3 Man City 5 13 11 L 0-2  Prediction Forecast
4 Watford 5 12 5 Forecast Forecast
5 Bournemouth 5 10 3 Forecast Forecast
6 Tottenham 5 9 4 Forecast Forecast
7 Arsenal 5 9 1
8 Man United 5 9 0 Forecast Forecast
9 Wolves 5 8 0 Forecast Forecast
10 Everton 5 6 -1 Forecast Forecast
11 Leicester 5 6 -1 Forecast Forecast
12 Crystal Palace 5 6 -2 Forecast Forecast
13 Southampton 5 5 0 Forecast Forecast
14 Brighton 5 5 -2 Forecast Forecast
15 Fulham 5 4 -5 Forecast Forecast
16 West Ham 5 3 -6 W 3-1  Prediction Forecast
17 Cardiff 5 2 -6 Forecast W 3-2  Prediction
18 Huddersfield 5 2 -9 Forecast Forecast
19 Newcastle 5 1 -4 Forecast W 2-1  Prediction
20 Burnley 5 1 -7 Forecast Forecast

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.14Away 0.67

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.87 0.17 0.01
Bournemouth 0.44 -0.35 0.01
Brighton 0.16 0.02 0.03
Burnley 0.13 0.09 0.02
Cardiff -0.10 -0.06 0.20
Chelsea 0.85 0.29 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.24 -0.06 0.01
Everton 0.46 0.08 0.01
Fulham 0.67 -0.57 0.20
Huddersfield -0.17 -0.13 0.03
Leicester 0.48 -0.02 0.01
Liverpool 0.97 0.23 0.01
Man City 1.32 0.34 0.01
Man United 0.71 0.37 0.01
Newcastle 0.20 0.19 0.03
Southampton 0.32 0.08 0.01
Tottenham 0.80 0.33 0.01
Watford 0.17 -0.06 0.02
West Ham 0.37 -0.19 0.01
Wolves -0.14 0.40 0.20